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Landscape Architecture by Simonds G.O

By Simonds G.O

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187). Poulain (1993) presented an algorithm for estimation of international migration within the European Union, assuming that the data for all the countries are distorted in a similar fashion. However, according to Kupiszewski (2002b, p. 106), this method cannot be used universally and requires careful selection of countries for which estimation is performed. Other developments in dealing with deficient 18 2 Preliminaries migration data comprise several ideas summarised by Rogers (1999), including the entropy maximisation (EM) algorithms (Willekens, 1977, 1999; Willekens, Pór, & Raquillet, 1981).

Bearing in mind this distinction, the term uncertainty will be used throughout the book to depict any type of indeterminism, following the subjectivist viewpoint on probability embodied in the Bayesian statistics. As noted by Dawid (1984, p. 278), from a Bayesian viewpoint, probability is the only concept really needed to express uncertainty. Similarly, Robert (2001, p. 508) observed that the Bayesian approach allows for ‘a probabilization of uncertainty: axiomatic reduction from the notion of unknown to the notion of random’.

Fonseca, deserves credit for stimulating ideas and general views on the philosophy of probability, and for providing very useful references to primary sources. 7 A history of the idea of risk, as well as of the attempts to accommodate it in human life has been provided for example in Bernstein (1996/1997). 22 2 Preliminaries The interpretation proposed by Keynes has been criticised by Ramsey (1926), who suggested that probability should be rather a subjective measure of beliefs, linked with the utilities and rational preferences of particular individuals (see Bernardo & Smith, 2000, pp.

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