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Risk Assessment by Marvin Rausand(auth.)

By Marvin Rausand(auth.)

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W A slightly different definition is given in NASA (2007). The RIDM process can, according to NUREG-1855 (2009), be carried out in five steps: I. Define the decision under consideration (including context and boundary conditions). 2. Identify and assess the applicable requirements (laws, regulations, requirements, accepted design principles). 3. Perform risk-informed analysis, consisting of: (a) Deterministic analysis (based on engineering principles and experience and prior knowledge). , a risk assessment including an uncertainty assessment).

Complex accident. Had potential for a major release of radiation. Platform Ocean Ranger lost, 84 killed. Mexico City, Mexico USA Chernobyl, Ukraine 1984 Basel, Switzerland 1986 Zeebrtigge, Belgium North Sea, UK ]987 1988 Pasadena, USA Alaska, USA 1989 1989 Amsterdam, The Netherlands Baltic Sea 1992 1994 Eschede, Germany Longford Australia 1998 1998 Bretagne, France Enschede, The Netherlands Toulouse, France 1999 2000 Galicia, Spain Texas City, USA Hertfordshire, UK Gulf of Mexico 2002 2005 2005 2010 1982 1984 1986 ]986 2001 Release of toxic methyl isocyanate, 3800 killed, 20000 injured, 200 000 evacuated.

The quotation from Jaynes (2003) also touches on another controversy: that is, whether the probability of an event E is a property of the event E, the experiment producing E, or a subjective probability that exists only in the individual's mind. 7 Constant failure rate A specific valve is claimed to have a constant failure rate A (see Appendix A). The failure rate is a parameter of the time to failure distribution of the valve and it is not possible to observe the value of A. The value of A can sometimes be estimated based on recorded times-to-failure of several valves of the same type.

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